A few weeks ago, the DeMis Hassabis award winner forecasted This artificial intelligence (AI) will match human intelligence over the next 5-10 years. This expectation, divided by other AI analysts, is based on the exponential development of AI technology. However, this neglects an vital factor. As people, they pass on to computers, they get stupid.
The situation is similar to athletes losing muscle tissue by not practicing. The introduction of artificial intelligence into the labor force soothes people from various intellectual tasks. The “intellectual vacation mode” resulting from this will probably cause a decrease in human cognitive abilities. As a result, the exceeding point between human intelligence and AI can arrive faster than expected, not only because the skills of AI are developing rapidly, but also because people become stupid. Two trends are correlated because better AI agents would reduce intellectual load for people.
AND paper Published in the Intelligence journal two years ago, it was found that the American IQS for the first time in the recent history. Analysis 394 378 results of intelligence tests carried out in the years 2006–2018 showed that IQ fell in terms of logic and vocabulary, calculations and mathematics, as well as an analogy of visual problem solving and analogy. It reverses the so -called FLYNNA EFFECTwhich previously described a steady IQ enhance by about three IQ points for a decade from 1932. The decrease is the strongest in the age group from 18 to 22, which is to have better IQ results than the elderly. Separately from this, survey 2023 revealed that 34% of American adults rated at the lowest level of counting, without the possibility of working with numbers.
Last last test Reported The trend, which began around the middle of 2010., and more people are complex to concentrate, reason and problem solving. Young adults show reduced attention and weakening of critical thinking skills based on data concerning 18-year-old Americans, as well data on 15-year-olds around the world. The extensive exposure to digital screens was demonstrated cause a decrease in verbal skills of children and reduce The ability of adults in student age to concentrate and process information.
Psychological test He revealed that people can keep and process data much better if their smartphones were in a different room. Simply turning off the phone did not matter, because people still showed a decrease in cognitive abilities when their smartphone was next to them.
Human intelligence blooms in response to challenges. With fewer problems to solve and a larger number of superficial sources of involvement in the era of social media and artificial intelligence, you need deep thinking and exacting inquiry.
Of course, there will always be statistical protruding values on the tail with a high IQ probability distribution, with the participation of people who are led to learning, analyzing and introducing innovation without the facilitate of AI agents.
Considering these trends, one can optimistically wonder whether the interpretative growth of AI will compensate for the alarming decline in human cognitive abilities, so that the net effect is still positive. I don't think so.
The prosperity of democratic countries critically depends on the cognitive abilities of their citizens, and less than the tools they employ. This is due to the fact that people control the physical world in a way that cannot be replaced with AI systems. We need politicians to make reasonable judgments, a jury to achieve a reasonable verdict, technologists to make good investments, and scientists have discovered recent knowledge. But above all, we need to involve people to interact with other people and the challenge of finding the truth from basic sources of evidence and knowledge. The consumption of knowledge, which has been processed by AI, is equivalent to the trash. At the moment it may feel good, but in the long term it is harmful to our health.
We hope that we can revise our education system to restore the growing curve of Flynn human results in the 21st century. Otherwise, we may not be able to get the steering wheel when our cars driven by us leave the cliff.
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